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Predicting the next recession

Right now, as an investor, the key question is: “How much longer does the present growth cycle have to run?” If we’re approaching the end of this cycle, then investors ought to batten down the hatches, de-lever, horde cash, and get ready to bargain-hunt. If, on the other hand, we’re still looking at 2, 3,

Zell vs. Zeckendorf

Have just finished reading two excellent autobiographies, one by Sam Zell and the other by William Zeckendorf. For those who don’t know: Zell is a legendary investor, particularly in distressed assets. He created companies that, at one point, were the largest multifamily REIT, the largest office REIT, and the largest mobile home REIT. He has

Preservation or affordability on Sunset?

Curbed LA has a story today about the possibility that the city will deem the Hollywood Reporter building on Sunset a Historic Cultural Monument and thereby prevent a developer from moving forward with plans to build ~300 hotel rooms, ~190 condos and and ~700 apartments on the site. I appreciate interesting architecture. But I think the

Where our tenants are coming from

Regular readers know that I approve all of our tenants personally. Why? Well, I’m the one who’s going to have to deal with going to eviction court if they turn out to be screw-ups, so it’s best that I sign off on them upfront. But there’s another reason, too: Reviewing all the tenant applications gives

Why we’re selling 2727 E 4th St.

Regular readers know I’m not a fan of selling LA real estate, particularly in improving neighborhoods. So, why are we selling 2727 E 4th St. in Boyle Heights? The fund that owns it has a structure which requires we meet a certain yield threshold to keep pace with the investors. To get the yield up above

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