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An effective tactic we just can’t use

Yesterday, I noted that pricing for apartment buildings in LA has become detached from the underlying cashflows the buildings can generate. But some deals are still getting done at (semi-)reasonable prices and I want to discuss how, and why it’s a problem for me. Right now, listing brokers and sellers are pricing properties very aggressively.

Buyers beware

The math underlying the apartment repositioning business is simple: It comes down to the relationship between the price at which we can buy buildings and the rent we can achieve for renovated units. Because we started doing this pretty much at the bottom of the last recession, for our entire career, both prices and rents

Why I’m starting up again

Have been wrestling with the question of whether or not to continue blogging. The downside is obvious: We have tons of copycats / competitors who read this site to glean information about where we buy, how we renovate, etc. The more competitors, the more prices for deals are bid up, and the fewer deals make

Will the glut downtown affect Adaptive?

…and we’re back. Have been getting a lot of questions re the high apartment vacancy rate in DTLA (about which Curbed wrote the other day). Here’s the situation: As usual for this stage of the cycle, developers have overbuilt downtown (they always do this, because DTLA is one of the few neighborhoods in which it is

Predicting the next recession

Right now, as an investor, the key question is: “How much longer does the present growth cycle have to run?” If we’re approaching the end of this cycle, then investors ought to batten down the hatches, de-lever, horde cash, and get ready to bargain-hunt. If, on the other hand, we’re still looking at 2, 3,

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