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Why the Fed’s growth forecast matters

If you follow macro-economic news, today was a big day. In addition to raising short-term interest rates, the Federal Reserve bumped up its estimate for economic growth in 2018, from 2.1% to 2.5%. The question for LA landlords is whether this increased growth rate will result in additional jobs / wage growth. Why should landlords

Thinking about 2018

We’re coming to the end of deploying our current fund and, as usual, I’m considering several possible ideas for our next one. The most likely possibility is that we will do another round of rehab deals, this time ideally with a larger fund of (slightly) cheaper equity… say, in the 5% pref range, instead of

Surprised by the south Valley

Was looking at a deal in the Valley yesterday, was surprised by the rents, and came to a realization about apartment supply. The reason that I was surprised by the rents is that I’m used to thinking of the Valley as having considerably more supply than the city. There’s physically just a ton of land

Growth and land-use

Love this article in today’s NY Times. For the lazy: The article makes the case that America doesn’t have boomtowns anymore, because the cities with the most economic opportunity have put in place land0use restrictions that keep housing prices very high, blocking new workers from coming in. Now, as a developer with a growing property

A difference between brokers and principals

Got a phone call today from a great pair of brokers with whom I have long-standing, mutually-profitable relationships. They were calling to congratulate me on closing our most recent deal. On the call, I told them again how much I appreciate their continued help (particularly on this deal, which got a little hairy). But also

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